Publications

178 publications

2020

Fogarty, F. A., Cayan, D. R., DeHaan, L. L., & Fleishman, E. (2020). Associations of breeding-bird abundance with climate vary among species and trait-based groups in southern California. Plos One, 15(3). doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0230614

2019

Myers, M. R., Barnard, P. L., Beighley, E., Cayan, D. R., Dugan, J. E., Feng, D. M., ... Page, H. M. (2019). A multidisciplinary coastal vulnerability assessment for local government focused on ecosystems, Santa Barbara area, California. Ocean & Coastal Management, 182(104921). doi: 10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2019.104921
Corringham, T. W., Ralph, F. M., Gershunov, A., Cayan, D. R., & Talbot, C. A. (2019). Atmospheric rivers drive flood damages in the western United States. Science Advances, 5(12). doi: 10.1126/sciadv.aax4631
Zhang, Z. H., Pierce, D. W., & Cayan, D. R. (2019). A deficit of seasonal temperature forecast skill over west coast regions in NMME. Weather and Forecasting, 34(4), 833-848. doi: 10.1175/waf-d-18-0172.1
Corringham, T. W., & Cayan, D. R. (2019). The effect of El Nino on flood damages in the western United States. Weather Climate and Society, 11(3), 489-504. doi: 10.1175/wcas-d-18-0071.1
Gershunov, A., Shulgina, T., Clemesha, R. E. S., Guirguis, K., Pierce, D. W., Dettinger, M. D., ... Ralph, F. M. (2019). Precipitation regime change in Western North America: The role of Atmospheric Rivers. Scientific Reports, 9(9944). doi: 10.1038/s41598-019-46169-w
Feng, D. M., Beighley, E., Raoufi, R., Melack, J., Zhao, Y. H., Iacobellis, S., & Cayan, D. (2019). Propagation of future climate conditions into hydrologic response from coastal southern California watersheds. Climatic Change, 153(1-2), 199-218. doi: 10.1007/s10584-019-02371-3
Roche, J. W., Rice, R., Meng, X. D., Cayan, D. R., Dettinger, M. D., Alden, D., ... Bales, R. C. (2019). Climate, snow, and soil moisture data set for the Tuolumne and Merced river watersheds, California, USA. Earth System Science Data, 11(1), 101-110. doi: 10.5194/essd-11-101-2019

2018

Knowles, N., Cronkite-Ratcliff, C., Pierce, D. W., & Cayan, D. R. (2018). Responses of unimpaired flows, storage, and managed flows to scenarios of climate change in the San Francisco Bay-Delta Watershed. Water Resources Research, 54(10), 7631-7650. doi: 10.1029/2018wr022852
Sumargo, E., & Cayan, D. R. (2018). The influence of cloudiness on hydrologic fluctuations in the mountains of the western United States. Water Resources Research, 54(10), 8478-8499. doi: 10.1029/2018wr022687
Guirguis, K., Gershunov, A., Cayan, D. R., & Pierce, D. W. (2018). Heat wave probability in the changing climate of the Southwest US. Climate Dynamics, 50(9-10), 3853-3864. doi: 10.1007/s00382-017-3850-3

2017

Polade, S. D., Gershunov, A., Cayan, D. R., Dettinger, M. D., & Pierce, D. W. (2017). Precipitation in a warming world: Assessing projected hydro-climate changes in California and other Mediterranean climate regions. Scientific Reports, 7(10783). doi: 10.1038/s41598-017-11285-y
Sumargo, E., & Cayan, D. R. (2017). Variability of Cloudiness over Mountain Terrain in the Western United States. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18(5), 1227-1245. doi: 10.1175/jhm-d-16-0194.1
Huss, M., Bookhagen, B., Huggel, C., Jacobsen, D., Bradley, R. S., Clague, J. J., ... Winder, M. (2017). Toward mountains without permanent snow and ice. Earths Future, 5(5), 418-435. doi: 10.1002/2016ef000514
Clemesha, R. E. S., Gershunov, A., Iacobellis, S. F., & Cayan, D. R. (2017). Daily variability of California coastal low cloudiness: A balancing act between stability and subsidence. Geophysical Research Letters, 44(7), 3330-3338. doi: 10.1002/2017gl073075

2016

Lundquist, J. D., Roche, J. W., Forrester, H., Moore, C., Keenan, E., Perry, G., ... Dettinger, M. D. (2016). Yosemite Hydroclimate Network: Distributed stream and atmospheric data for the Tuolumne River watershed and surroundings. Water Resources Research, 52(9), 7478-7489. doi: 10.1002/2016wr019261
Ralph, F. M., Prather, K. A., Cayan, D., Spackman, J. R., DeMott, P., Dettinger, M., ... Intrieri, J. (2016). CalWater field studies designed to quantify the roles of atmospheric rivers and aerosols in modulating US West Coast precipitation in a changing climate. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97(7), 1209-1228. doi: 10.1175/bams-d-14-00043.1
Pierce, D. W., & Cayan, D. R. (2016). Downscaling humidity with Localized Constructed Analogs (LOCA) over the conterminous United States. Climate Dynamics, 47(1-2), 411-431. doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2845-1
Melville, W. K., Lenain, L., Cayan, D. R., Kahru, M., Kleissl, J. P., Linden, P. F., & Statom, N. M. (2016). The Modular Aerial Sensing System. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 33(6), 1169-1184. doi: 10.1175/jtech-d-15-0067.1
Yang, Y., Russell, L. M., Xu, L., Lou, S. J., Lamjiri, M. A., Somerville, R. C. J., ... Rasch, P. J. (2016). Impacts of ENSO events on cloud radiative effects in preindustrial conditions: Changes in cloud fraction and their dependence on interactive aerosol emissions and concentrations. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 121(11), 6321-6335. doi: 10.1002/2015jd024503
Guzman-Morales, J., Gershunov, A., Theiss, J., Li, H. Q., & Cayan, D. (2016). Santa Ana Winds of Southern California: Their climatology, extremes, and behavior spanning six and a half decades. Geophysical Research Letters, 43(6), 2827-2834. doi: 10.1002/2016gl067887
Clemesha, R. E. S., Gershunov, A., Iacobellis, S. F., Williams, A. P., & Cayan, D. R. (2016). The northward march of summer low cloudiness along the California coast. Geophysical Research Letters, 43(3), 1287-1295. doi: 10.1002/2015gl067081
DeFlorio, M. J., Goodwin, I. D., Cayan, D. R., Miller, A. J., Ghan, S. J., Pierce, D. W., ... Singh, B. (2016). Interannual modulation of subtropical Atlantic boreal summer dust variability by ENSO. Climate Dynamics, 46(1-2), 585-599. doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2600-7

2015

Pierce, D. W., Cayan, D. R., Maurer, E. P., Abatzoglou, J. T., & Hegewisch, K. C. (2015). Improved bias correction techniques for hydrological simulations of climate change. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 16(6), 2421-2442. doi: 10.1175/jhm-d-14-0236.1
Guirguis, K., Gershunov, A., & Cayan, D. R. (2015). Interannual variability in associations between seasonal climate, weather, and extremes: wintertime temperature over the Southwestern United States. Environmental Research Letters, 10(12). doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/124023
Shukla, S., Steinemann, A., Iacobellis, S. F., & Cayan, D. R. (2015). Annual drought in California: Association with monthly precipitation and climate phases. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 54(11), 2273-2281. doi: 10.1175/jamc-d-15-0167.1
Steinemann, A., Iacobellis, S. F., & Cayan, D. R. (2015). Developing and evaluating drought indicators for decision-making. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 16(4), 1793-1803. doi: 10.1175/jhm-d-14-0234.1
Bromirski, P. D., & Cayan, D. R. (2015). Wave power variability and trends across the North Atlantic influenced by decadal climate patterns. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, 120(5), 3419-3443. doi: 10.1002/2014jc010440

2014

Pierce, D. W., Cayan, D. R., & Thrasher, B. L. (2014). Statistical downscaling using Localized Constructed Analogs (LOCA). Journal of Hydrometeorology, 15(6), 2558-2585. doi: 10.1175/jhm-d-14-0082.1
Borsa, A. A., Agnew, D. C., & Cayan, D. R. (2014). Ongoing drought-induced uplift in the western United States. Science. doi: 10.1126/science.1260279
Rick, T. C., Sillett, T. S., Ghalambor, C. K., Hofman, C. A., Ralls, K., Anderson, R. S., ... Morrison, S. A. (2014). Ecological change on California's Channel Islands from the Pleistocene to the Anthropocene. Bioscience, 64(8), 680-692. doi: 10.1093/biosci/biu094
DeFlorio, M. J., Ghan, S. J., Singh, B., Miller, A. J., Cayan, D. R., Russell, L. M., & Somerville, R. C. J. (2014). Semidirect dynamical and radiative effect of North African dust transport on lower tropospheric clouds over the subtropical North Atlantic in CESM 1.0. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 119(13), 2013JD020997. doi: 10.1002/2013JD020997
Maurer, E. P., Brekke, L., Pruitt, T., Thrasher, B., Long, J., Duffy, P., ... Arnold, J. (2014). An enhanced archive facilitating climate impacts and adaptation analysis. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 95(7), 1011-+. doi: 10.1175/bams-d-13-00126.1
Rodo, X., Curcoll, R., Robinson, M., Ballester, J., Burns, J. C., Cayan, D. R., ... Morgui, J. A. (2014). Tropospheric winds from northeastern China carry the etiologic agent of Kawasaki disease from its source to Japan. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 111(22), 7952-7957. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1400380111
Schwartz, R. E., Gershunov, A., Iacobellis, S. F., & Cayan, D. R. (2014). North American west coast summer low cloudiness: Broadscale variability associated with sea surface temperature. Geophysical Research Letters, 41(9), 3307-3314. doi: 10.1002/2014gl059825
Polade, S. D., Pierce, D. W., Cayan, D. R., Gershunov, A., & Dettinger, M. D. (2014). The key role of dry days in changing regional climate and precipitation regimes. Scientific Reports, 4(4364). doi: 10.1038/srep04364
Li, H. Q., Kanamitsu, M., Hong, S. Y., Yoshimura, K., Cayan, D. R., & Misra, V. (2014). A high-resolution ocean-atmosphere coupled downscaling of the present climate over California. Climate Dynamics, 42(3-4), 701-714. doi: 10.1007/s00382-013-1670-7
Li, H. Q., Kanamitsu, M., Hong, S. Y., Yoshimura, K., Cayan, D. R., Misra, V., & Sun, L. Q. (2014). Projected climate change scenario over California by a regional ocean-atmosphere coupled model system. Climatic Change, 122(4), 609-619. doi: 10.1007/s10584-013-1025-8
Vano, J. A., Udall, B., Cayan, D. R., Overpeck, J. T., Brekke, L. D., Das, T., ... Lettenmaier, D. P. (2014). Understanding uncertainties in future Colorado River streamflow. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 95(1), 59-78. doi: 10.1175/bams-d-12-00228.1

2013

Bromirski, P. D., Cayan, D. R., Helly, J., & Wittmann, P. (2013). Wave power variability and trends across the North Pacific. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, 118(12), 6329-6348. doi: 10.1002/2013jc009189
Burns, J. C., Herzog, L., Fabri, O., Tremoulet, A. H., Rodo, X., Uehara, R., ... Kawasaki Dis Global Climate, C. (2013). Seasonality of Kawasaki Disease: A global perspective. Plos One, 8(9). doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0074529
Das, T., Maurer, E. P., Pierce, D. W., Dettinger, M. D., & Cayan, D. R. (2013). Increases in flood magnitudes in California under warming climates. Journal of Hydrology, 501, 101-110.
Iacobellis, S. F., & Cayan, D. R. (2013). The variability of California summertime marine stratus: Impacts on surface air temperatures. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 118(16), 9105-9122.
Pierce, D. W., Cayan, D. R., Das, T., Maurer, E. P., Miller, N. L., Bao, Y., ... Tyree, M. (2013). The key role of heavy precipitation events in climate model disagreements of future annual precipitation changes in California. Journal of Climate, 26(16), 5879-5896. doi: 10.1175/jcli-d-12-00766.1
White, A. B., Anderson, M. L., Dettinger, M. D., Ralph, F. M., Hinojosa, A., Cayan, D. R., ... Coleman, T. (2013). A twenty-first-century California observing network for monitoring extreme weather events. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 30(8), 1585-1603. doi: 10.1175/jtech-d-12-00217.1
Stahle, D. W., Griffin, R. D., Meko, D. M., Therrell, M. D., Edmondson, J. R., Cleaveland, M. K., ... Cayan, D. R. (2013). The ancient blue oak woodlands of California: Longevity and hydroclimatic history. Earth Interactions, 17(12). doi: 10.1175/2013ei000518.1
Pierce, D. W., & Cayan, D. R. (2013). The uneven response of different snow measures to human-induced climate warming. Journal of Climate, 26(12), 4148-4167. doi: 10.1175/jcli-d-12-00534.1
Maurer, E. P., Das, T., & Cayan, D. R. (2013). Errors in climate model daily precipitation and temperature output: time invariance and implications for bias correction. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 17(6), 2147-2159. doi: 10.5194/hess-17-2147-2013
DeFlorio, M. J., Pierce, D. W., Cayan, D. R., & Miller, A. J. (2013). Western US extreme precipitation events and their relation to ENSO and PDO in CCSM4. Journal of Climate, 26(12), 4231-4243. doi: 10.1175/jcli-d-12-00257.1
Ballester, J., Burns, J. C., Cayan, D., Nakamura, Y., Uehara, R., & Rodo, X. (2013). Kawasaki disease and ENSO-driven wind circulation. Geophysical Research Letters, 40(10), 2284-2289. doi: 10.1002/grl.50388
Polade, S. D., Gershunov, A., Cayan, D. R., Dettinger, M. D., & Pierce, D. W. (2013). Natural climate variability and teleconnections to precipitation over the Pacific-North American region in CMIP3 and CMIP5 models. Geophysical Research Letters, 40(10), 2296-2301. doi: 10.1002/grl.50491
Means, J. D., & Cayan, D. (2013). Precipitable Water from GPS Zenith Delays Using North American Regional Reanalysis Meteorology. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 30(3), 485-495. doi: 10.1175/jtech-d-12-00064.1
Graham, N. E., Cayan, D. R., Bromirski, P. D., & Flick, R. E. (2013). Multi-model projections of twenty-first century North Pacific winter wave climate under the IPCC A2 scenario. Climate Dynamics, 40(5-6), 1335-1360. doi: 10.1007/s00382-012-1435-8
Pierce, D. W., Das, T., Cayan, D. R., Maurer, E. P., Miller, N. L., Bao, Y., ... Tyree, M. (2013). Probabilistic estimates of future changes in California temperature and precipitation using statistical and dynamical downscaling. Climate Dynamics, 40(3-4), 839-856. doi: 10.1007/s00382-012-1337-9

2012

Hanson, R. T., Flint, L. E., Flint, A. L., Dettinger, M. D., Faunt, C. C., Cayan, D., & Schmid, W. (2012). A method for physically based model analysis of conjunctive use in response to potential climate changes. Water Resources Research, 48(W00l08). doi: 10.1029/2011wr010774
Dettinger, M. D., Ralph, F. M., Hughes, M., Das, T., Neiman, P., Cox, D., ... Jones, L. (2012). Design and quantification of an extreme winter storm scenario for emergency preparedness and planning exercises in California. Natural Hazards, 60(3), 1085-1111. doi: 10.1007/s11069-011-9894-5
Brooks, B. A., Bawden, G., Manjunath, D., Werner, C., Knowles, N., Foster, J., ... Cayan, D. (2012). Contemporaneous Subsidence and Levee Overtopping Potential, Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta, California. San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science, 10(1).

2011

Das, T., Dettinger, M. D., Cayan, D. R., & Hidalgo, H. G. (2011). Potential increase in floods in California's Sierra Nevada under future climate projections. Climatic Change, 109, 71-94. doi: 10.1007/s10584-011-0298-z
Franco, G., Cayan, D. R., Moser, S., Hanemann, M., & Jones, M. A. (2011). Second California Assessment: integrated climate change impacts assessment of natural and managed systems. Climatic Change, 109, 1-19. doi: 10.1007/s10584-011-0318-z
Das, T., Pierce, D. W., Cayan, D. R., Vano, J. A., & Lettenmaier, D. P. (2011). The importance of warm season warming to western US streamflow changes. Geophysical Research Letters, 38(L23403). doi: 10.1029/2011gl049660
Rodo, X., Ballester, J., Cayan, D., Melish, M. E., Nakamura, Y., Uehara, R., & Burns, J. C. (2011). Association of Kawasaki disease with tropospheric wind patterns. Scientific Reports, 1(152). doi: 10.1038/srep00152
Pan, L. L., Chen, S. H., Cayan, D., Lin, M. Y., Hart, Q., Zhang, M. H., ... Wang, J. Z. (2011). Influences of climate change on California and Nevada regions revealed by a high-resolution dynamical downscaling study. Climate Dynamics, 37(9-10), 2005-2020. doi: 10.1007/s00382-010-0961-5
Cloern, J. E., Knowles, N., Brown, L. R., Cayan, D., Dettinger, M. D., Morgan, T. L., ... Jassby, A. D. (2011). Projected evolution of California's San Francisco Bay-Delta-River System in a century of climate change. Plos One, 6(9). doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0024465
Zhao, Z., Chen, S. H., Kleeman, M. J., Tyree, M., & Cayan, D. (2011). The impact of climate change on air quality-related meteorological conditions in california. Part I: Present time simulation analysis. Journal of Climate, 24(13), 3344-3361. doi: 10.1175/2011jcli3849.1

2010

Cayan, D. R., Das, T., Pierce, D. W., Barnett, T. P., Tyree, M., & Gershunov, A. (2010). Future dryness in the southwest US and the hydrology of the early 21st century drought. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 107(50), 21271-21276. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0912391107
Bytnerowicz, A., Cayan, D., Riggan, P., Schilling, S., Dawson, P., Tyree, M., ... Preisler, H. (2010). Analysis of the effects of combustion emissions and Santa Ana winds on ambient ozone during the October 2007 southern California wildfires. Atmospheric Environment, 44(5), 678-687. doi: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2009.11.014
Maurer, E. P., Hidalgo, H. G., Das, T., Dettinger, M. D., & Cayan, D. R. (2010). The utility of daily large-scale climate data in the assessment of climate change impacts on daily streamflow in California. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 14(6), 1125-1138. doi: 10.5194/hess-14-1125-2010

2009

Gershunov, A., Cayan, D. R., & Iacobellis, S. F. (2009). The great 2006 heat wave over California and Nevada: Signal of an increasing trend. Journal of Climate, 22(23), 6181-6203. doi: 10.1175/2009jcli2465.1
Das, T., Hidalgo, H. G., Dettinger, M. D., Cayan, D. R., Pierce, D. W., Bonfils, C., ... Mirin, A. (2009). Structure and detectability of trends in hydrological measures over the western United States. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 10(4), 871-892. doi: 10.1175/2009jhm1095.1
Hidalgo, H. G., Das, T., Dettinger, M. D., Cayan, D. R., Pierce, D. W., Barnett, T. P., ... Nozawa, T. (2009). Detection and attribution of streamflow timing changes to climate change in the western United States. Journal of Climate, 22(13), 3838-3855. doi: 10.1175/2009jcli2470.1
Stahle, D. W., Griffin, R. D., Therrell, M. D., Edmondson, J. R., Cleaveland, M. K., Stahle, L. N., ... Cayan, D. R. (2009). The ancient blue oak woodlands of California. Fremontia, 37(3), 22.

2008

Bonfils, C., Santer, B. D., Pierce, D. W., Hidalgo, H. G., Bala, G., Das, T., ... Nozawa, T. (2008). Detection and attribution of temperature changes in the mountainous western United States. Journal of Climate, 21(23), 6404-6424. doi: 10.1175/2008jcli2397.1
Pierce, D. W., Barnett, T. P., Hidalgo, H. G., Das, T., Bonfils, C., Santer, B. D., ... Nozawa, T. (2008). Attribution of declining western US snowpack to human effects. Journal of Climate, 21(23), 6425-6444. doi: 10.1175/2008jcli2405.1
Mahmud, A., Tyree, M., Cayan, D., Motallebi, N., & Kleeman, M. J. (2008). Statistical downscaling of climate change impacts on ozone concentrations in California. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 113(D21). doi: 10.1029/2007jd009534
Reisen, W. K., Cayan, D., Tyree, M., Barker, C. A., Eldridge, B., & Dettinger, M. (2008). Impact of climate variation on mosquito abundance in California. Journal of Vector Ecology, 33(1), 89-98. doi: 10.3376/1081-1710(2008)33[89:iocvom]2.0.co;2
Franco, G., Cayan, D., Luers, A., Hanemann, M., & Croes, B. (2008). Linking climate change science with policy in California. Climatic Change, 87, S7-S20. doi: 10.1007/s10584-007-9359-8
Cayan, D. R., Bromirski, P. D., Hayhoe, K., Tyree, M., Dettinger, M. D., & Flick, R. E. (2008). Climate change projections of sea level extremes along the California coast. Climatic Change, 87, S57-S73. doi: 10.1007/s10584-007-9376-7
Cayan, D. R., Luers, A. L., Franco, G., Hanemann, M., Croes, B., & Vine, E. (2008). Overview of the California climate change scenarios project. Climatic Change, 87, S1-S6. doi: 10.1007/s10584-007-9352-2
Cayan, D. R., Maurer, E. P., Dettinger, M. D., Tyree, M., & Hayhoe, K. (2008). Climate change scenarios for the California region. Climatic Change, 87, S21-S42. doi: 10.1007/s10584-007-9377-6
Barnett, T. P., Pierce, D. W., Hidalgo, H. G., Bonfils, C., Santer, B. D., Das, T., ... Dettinger, M. D. (2008). Human-induced changes in the hydrology of the western United States. Science, 319(5866), 1080-1083. doi: 10.1126/science.1152538
Kueppers, L. M., Snyder, M. A., Sloan, L. C., Cayan, D., Jin, J., Kanamaru, H., ... Weare, B. (2008). Seasonal temperature responses to land-use change in the western United States. Global and Planetary Change, 60(3-4), 250-264. doi: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2007.03.005
Taylor, S. V., Cayan, D. R., Graham, N. E., & Georgakakos, K. P. (2008). Northerly surface winds over the eastern North Pacific Ocean in spring and summer. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 113(D2). doi: 10.1029/2006jd008053
Van Wagtendonk, J. W., & Cayan, D. R. (2008). Temporal and spatial distribution of lightning strikes in California in relation to large-scale weather patterns. Fire Ecology, 4(1), 34-56.

2007

Maurer, E. P., Stewart, I. T., Bonfils, C., Duffy, P. B., & Cayan, D. (2007). Detection, attribution, and sensitivity of trends toward earlier streamflow in the Sierra Nevada. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 112(D11). doi: 10.1029/2006jd008088
Lundquist, J. D., & Cayan, D. R. (2007). Surface temperature patterns in complex terrain: Daily variations and long-term change in the central Sierra Nevada, California. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 112(D11). doi: 10.1029/2006jd007561
Yin, Z. Y., Estberg, J., Hallisey, E. J., & Cayan, D. R. (2007). Spatial patterns of lightning at different spatial scales in the western United States during August of 1990: A case study using Geographic Information Systems technology. Journal of Environmental Informatics, 9(1), 4-17. doi: 10.3808/jei.200700083

2006

Knowles, N., Dettinger, M. D., & Cayan, D. R. (2006). Trends in snowfall versus rainfall in the Western United States. Journal of Climate, 19(18), 4545-4559. doi: 10.1175/jcli3850.1
Westerling, A. L., Hidalgo, H. G., Cayan, D. R., & Swetnam, T. W. (2006). Warming and earlier spring increase western US forest wildfire activity. Science, 313(5789), 940-943. doi: 10.1126/science.1128834
Ralph, F. M., Neiman, P. J., Wick, G. A., Gutman, S. I., Dettinger, M. D., Cayan, D. R., & White, A. B. (2006). Flooding on California's Russian River: Role of atmospheric rivers. Geophysical Research Letters, 33(13). doi: 10.1029/2006gl026689
Alfaro, E. J., Gershunov, A., & Cayan, D. (2006). Prediction of summer maximum and minimum temperature over the central and western United States: The roles of soil moisture and sea surface temperature. Journal of Climate, 19(8), 1407-1421. doi: 10.1175/jcli3665.1

2005

Lundquist, J. D., Dettinger, M. D., & Cayan, D. R. (2005). Snow-fed streamflow timing at different basin scales: Case study of the Tuolumne River above Hetch Hetchy, Yosemite, California. Water Resources Research, 41(7). doi: 10.1029/2004wr003933
Stewart, I. T., Cayan, D. R., & Dettinger, M. D. (2005). Changes toward earlier streamflow timing across western North America. Journal of Climate, 18(8), 1136-1155. doi: 10.1175/jcli3321.1
Burns, J. C., Cayan, D. R., Tong, G., Bainto, E. V., Turner, C. L., Shike, H., ... Yanagawa, H. (2005). Seasonality and temporal clustering of Kawasaki syndrome. Epidemiology, 16(2), 220-225. doi: 10.1097/01.ede.0000152901.06689.d4
Bromirski, P. D., Cayan, D. R., & Flick, R. E. (2005). Wave spectral energy variability in the northeast Pacific. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, 110(C3). doi: 10.1029/2004jc002398
Hidalgo, H. G., Cayan, D. R., & Dettinger, M. D. (2005). Sources of variability of evapotranspiration in California. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 6(1), 3-19. doi: 10.1175/jhm-398.1
White, W. B., Cayan, D. R., Niiler, P. P., Moisan, J., Lagerloef, G., Bonjean, F., & Legler, D. (2005). The seasonal cycle of diabatic heat storage in the Pacific Ocean. Progress in Oceanography, 64(1), 1-29. doi: 10.1016/j.pocean.2004.06.012

2004

Dettinger, M., Redmond, K., & Cayan, D. (2004). Winter orographic precipitation ratios in the Sierra Nevada: Large-scale atmospheric circulations and hydrologic consequences. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 5(6), 1102-1116. doi: 10.1175/jhm-390.1
Hayhoe, K., Cayan, D., Field, C. B., Frumhoff, P. C., Maurer, E. P., Miller, N. L., ... Verville, J. H. (2004). Emissions pathways, climate change, and impacts on California. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 101(34), 12422-12427. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0404500101
Lundquist, J. D., Cayan, D. R., & Dettinger, M. D. (2004). Spring onset in the Sierra Nevada: When is snowmelt independent of elevation?. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 5(2), 327-342. doi: 10.1175/1525-7541(2004)005<0327:soitsn>2.0.co;2
Stewart, I. T., Cayan, D. R., & Dettinger, M. D. (2004). Changes in snowmelt runoff timing in western North America under a 'business as usual' climate change scenario. Climatic Change, 62(1-3), 217-232. doi: 10.1023/B:CLIM.0000013702.22656.e8
Dettinger, M. D., Cayan, D. R., Meyer, M., & Jeton, A. E. (2004). Simulated hydrologic responses to climate variations and change in the Merced, Carson, and American River basins, Sierra Nevada, California, 1900-2099. Climatic Change, 62(1-3), 283-317. doi: 10.1023/B:CLIM.0000013683.13346.4f
Knowles, N., & Cayan, D. R. (2004). Elevational dependence of projected hydrologic changes in the San Francisco Estuary and watershed. Climatic Change, 62(1-3), 319-336. doi: 10.1023/B:CLIM.0000013696.14308.b9
Pagano, T., Pasteris, P., Dettinger, M. D., Cayan, D. R., & Redmond, K. (2004). Spring 2004: The heat is on Western US water supplies. EOS Trans. AGU, 85(40), 385.
Alfaro, E. J., Gershunov, A., & Cayan, D. R. (2004). A method for prediction of California summer air surface temperature. EOS Trans. AGU, 85(51), 553, 557-558. doi: 10.1029/2004EO510001
Westerling, A. L., Cayan, D. R., Brown, T. J., Hall, B., & Riddle, L. G. (2004). Climate, Santa Ana winds and autumn wildfires in southern California. EOS Trans. AGU, 85(31), 289.

2003

White, W. B., Dettinger, M. D., & Cayan, D. R. (2003). Sources of global warming of the upper ocean on decadal period scales. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, 108(C8). doi: 10.1029/2002jc001396
Gershunov, A., & Cayan, D. R. (2003). Heavy daily precipitation frequency over the contiguous United States: Sources of climatic variability and seasonal predictability. Journal of Climate, 16(16), 2752-2765. doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016<2752:hdpfot>2.0.co;2
Dettinger, M. D., & Cayan, D. R. (2003). Interseasonal covariability of Sierra Nevada streamflow and San Francisco Bay salinity. Journal of Hydrology, 277(3-4), 164-181. doi: 10.1016/s0022-1694(03)00078-7
Westerling, A. L., Gershunov, A., Brown, T. J., Cayan, D. R., & Dettinger, M. D. (2003). Climate and wildfire in the western United States. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 84(5), 595-+. doi: 10.1175/bams-84-5-595
Bromirski, P. D., Flick, R. E., & Cayan, D. R. (2003). Storminess variability along the California coast: 1858-2000. Journal of Climate, 16(6), 982-993. doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016<0982:svatcc>2.0.co;2
Cayan, D. R., Dettinger, M. D., Redmond, K., McGabe, G., Knowles, N., & Peterson, D. H. (2003). The transboundary setting of California's water and hydropower systems - linkages between the Sierra Nevada, Columbia, and Colorado hydroclimates. Climate and water: transboundary challenges in the Americas (pp. 26). Dordrecht; Boston: Kluwer Academic Publishers.
Lundquist, J. D., Cayan, D. R., & Dettinger, M. D. (2003). Meteorology and hydrology in Yosemite National Park: A sensor network application. Information Processing in Sensor Networks, Proceedings (pp. 518-528). Berlin: Springer-Verlag Berlin.
Lundquist, J., & Cayan, D. R. (2003). Diurnal cycles in streamflow in the Western United States. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 84, 16-17.

2002

Lundquist, J. D., & Cayan, D. R. (2002). Seasonal and spatial patterns in diurnal cycles in streamflow in the western United States. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 3(5), 591-603. doi: 10.1175/1525-7541(2002)003<0591:saspid>2.0.co;2
Knowles, N., & Cayan, D. R. (2002). Potential effects of global warming on the Sacramento/San Joaquin watershed and the San Francisco estuary. Geophysical Research Letters, 29(18). doi: 10.1029/2001gl014339
Scavia, D., Field, J. C., Boesch, D. F., Buddemeier, R. W., Burkett, V., Cayan, D. R., ... Titus, J. G. (2002). Climate change impacts on US coastal and marine ecosystems. Estuaries, 25(2), 149-164. doi: 10.1007/bf02691304
Westerling, A. L., Gershunov, A., Cayan, D. R., & Barnett, T. P. (2002). Long lead statistical forecasts of area burned in western US wildfires by ecosystem province. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 11(3-4), 257-266. doi: 10.1071/wf02009

2001

Nemani, R. R., White, M. A., Cayan, D. R., Jones, G. V., Running, S. W., Coughlan, J. C., & Peterson, D. L. (2001). Asymmetric warming over coastal California and its impact on the premium wine industry. Climate Research, 19(1), 25-34. doi: 10.3354/cr019025
Auad, G., Miller, A. J., Roads, J. O., & Cayan, D. (2001). Pacific Ocean wind stress and surface heat flux anomalies from NCEP reanalysis and observations: Cross-statistics and ocean model responses. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, 106(C10), 22249-22265. doi: 10.1029/2000jc000264
Cayan, D. R., Kammerdiener, S. A., Dettinger, M. D., Caprio, J. M., & Peterson, D. H. (2001). Changes in the onset of spring in the western United States. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 82(3), 399-415. doi: 10.1175/1520-0477(2001)082<0399:citoos>2.3.co;2
White, W. B., Cayan, D. R., Dettinger, M. D., & Auad, G. (2001). Sources of global warming in upper ocean temperature during El Nino. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, 106(C3), 4349-4367. doi: 10.1029/1999jc000130
Biondi, F., Gershunov, A., & Cayan, D. R. (2001). North Pacific decadal climate variability since 1661. Journal of Climate, 14(1), 5-10. doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<0005:npdcvs>2.0.co;2
Stahle, D. W., Therrell, M. D., Cleaveland, M. K., Cayan, D. R., Dettinger, M. D., & Knowles, N. (2001). Ancient Blue Oaks reveal human impact on San Francisco Bay salinity. EOS Trans. AGU, 82(12), 141, 144-145.
Knowles, N., & Cayan, D. R. (2001). Global climate change: Potential effects on the Sacramento/San Joaquin watershed and the San Francisco estuary. IEP Newsletter, 14(3), 23-30.

2000

Pandey, G. R., Cayan, D. R., Dettinger, M. D., & Georgakakos, K. P. (2000). A hybrid orographic plus statistical model for downscaling daily precipitation in northern California. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 1(6), 491-506. doi: 10.1175/1525-7541(2000)001<0491:ahopsm>2.0.co;2
Gershunov, A., Barnett, T. P., Cayan, D. R., Tubbs, T., & Goddard, L. (2000). Predicting and downscaling ENSO impacts on intraseasonal precipitation statistics in California: The 1997/98 event. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 1(3), 201-210. doi: 10.1175/1525-7541(2000)001<0201:padeio>2.0.co;2
White, W. B., & Cayan, D. R. (2000). A global El Nino-Southern Oscillation wave in surface temperature and pressure and its interdecadal modulation from 1900 to 1997. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, 105(C5), 11223-11242. doi: 10.1029/1999jc900246
Peterson, D. H., Smith, R. E., Dettinger, M. D., Cayan, D. R., & Riddle, L. (2000). An organized signal in snowmelt runoff over the western United States. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 36(2), 421-432. doi: 10.1111/j.1752-1688.2000.tb04278.x
Dettinger, M. D., Cayan, D. R., McCabe, G. M., & Marengo, J. A. (2000). Multiscale streamflow variability associated with El Nino/Southern Oscillation. El Nino and the southern oscillation: multiscale variability and global and regional impacts (pp. 113-146). Cambridge; New York, NY: Cambridge University Press.

1999

Weinheimer, A. L., Kennett, J. P., & Cayan, D. R. (1999). Recent increase in surface-water stability during warming off California as recorded in marine sediments. Geology, 27(11), 1019-1022. doi: 10.1130/0091-7613(1999)027<1019:riisws>2.3.co;2
Cayan, D. R., Redmond, K. T., & Riddle, L. G. (1999). ENSO and hydrologic extremes in the western United States. Journal of Climate, 12(9), 2881-2893. doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012<2881:eaheit>2.0.co;2
Pandey, G. R., Cayan, D. R., & Georgakakos, K. P. (1999). Precipitation structure in the Sierra Nevada of California during winter. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 104(D10), 12019-12030. doi: 10.1029/1999jd900103
Biondi, F., Perkins, D. L., Cayan, D. R., & Hughes, M. K. (1999). July temperature during the second millennium reconstructed from Idaho tree rings. Geophysical Research Letters, 26(10), 1445-1448. doi: 10.1029/1999gl900272
Gershunov, A., Barnett, T., & Cayan, D. (1999). North Pacific interdecadal oscillation seen as factor in ENSO-related North American climate anomalies. EOS Trans. AGU, 80(3), 25-30. doi: 10.1029/99EO00019

1998

Miller, A. J., Cayan, D. R., & White, W. B. (1998). A westward-intensified decadal change in the North Pacific thermocline and gyre-scale circulation. Journal of Climate, 11(12), 3112-3127. doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(1998)011<3112:awidci>2.0.co;2
Dettinger, M. D., Cayan, D. R., Diaz, H. F., & Meko, D. M. (1998). North-south precipitation patterns in western North America on interannual-to-decadal timescales. Journal of Climate, 11(12), 3095-3111. doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(1998)011<3095:nsppiw>2.0.co;2
Cayan, D. R., Dettinger, M. D., Diaz, H. F., & Graham, N. E. (1998). Decadal variability of precipitation over western North America. Journal of Climate, 11(12), 3148-3166. doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(1998)011<3148:dvopow>2.0.co;2
White, W. B., & Cayan, D. R. (1998). Quasi-periodicity and global symmetries in interdecadal upper ocean temperature variability. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, 103(C10), 21335-21354. doi: 10.1029/98jc01706
White, W. B., Cayan, D. R., & Lean, J. (1998). Global upper ocean heat storage response to radiative forcing from changing solar irradiance and increasing greenhouse gas/aerosol concentrations. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, 103(C10), 21355-21366. doi: 10.1029/98jc01477
McGowan, J. A., Cayan, D. R., & Dorman, L. M. (1998). Climate-ocean variability and ecosystem response in the northeast Pacific. Science, 281(5374), 210-217. doi: 10.1126/science.281.5374.210

1997

Weinheimer, A. L., & Cayan, D. R. (1997). Radiolarian assemblages from Santa Barbara Basin sediments: Recent interdecadal variability. Paleoceanography, 12(5), 658-670. doi: 10.1029/97pa00986
Biondi, F., Cayan, D. R., & Berger, W. H. (1997). Dendroclimatology of Torrey pine (Pinus torreyana Parry ex Carr.). American Midland Naturalist, 138(2), 237-251. doi: 10.2307/2426817
Miller, A. J., White, W. B., & Cayan, D. R. (1997). North Pacific thermocline variations on ENSO timescales. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 27(9), 2023-2039. doi: 10.1175/1520-0485(1997)027<2023:nptvoe>2.0.co;2
Reverdin, G., Cayan, D., & Kushnir, Y. (1997). Decadal variability of hydrography in the upper northern North Atlantic in 1948-1990. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, 102(C4), 8505-8531. doi: 10.1029/96jc03943
White, W. B., Lean, J., Cayan, D. R., & Dettinger, M. D. (1997). Response of global upper ocean temperature to changing solar irradiance. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, 102(C2), 3255-3266. doi: 10.1029/96jc03549

1996

Cayan, D. R. (1996). Interannual climate variability and snowpack in the western United States. Journal of Climate, 9(5), 928-948. doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(1996)009<0928:icvasi>2.0.co;2
Peterson, D. H., Cayan, D. R., Dettinger, M. D., Noble, M., Riddle, L. G., Schemel, L. E., ... Walters, R. (1996). San Francisco Bay: observations, numerical simulation and statistical models. San Francisco Bay: the ecosystem. Further investigations into the natural history of San Francisco Bay and Delta with reference to the influence of man, 9-34.

1995

Yan, X. H., Niiler, P. P., Nadiga, S. K., Stewart, R. H., & Cayan, D. R. (1995). Seasonal heat storage in the North Pacific: 1976–1989. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, 100(C4), 6899-6926. doi: 10.1029/94jc03230
Dettinger, M. D., & Cayan, D. R. (1995). Large-scale atmospheric forcing of recent trends toward early snowmelt runoff in California. Journal of Climate, 8(3), 606-623. doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(1995)008<0606:lsafor>2.0.co;2
Georgakakos, K. P., Bae, D. H., & Cayan, D. R. (1995). Hydroclimatology of continental watersheds: 1. Temporal Analyses. Water Resources Research, 31(3), 655-675. doi: 10.1029/94wr02375
Cayan, D. R., & Georgakakos, K. P. (1995). Hydroclimatology of continental watersheds: 2. Spatial analyses. Water Resources Research, 31(3), 677-697. doi: 10.1029/94wr02376
Cayan, D. R., Miller, A. J., Barnett, T. P., Graham, N. E., Ritchie, J. N., & Oberhuber, J. M. (1995). Seasonal-interannual fluctuations in surface temperature over the Pacific: effects of monthly winds and heat fluxes. Natural climate variability on decade-to-century time scales (pp. 133-150). Washington, D.C.: National Academy Press.

1994

Chen, S. C., & Cayan, D. R. (1994). Low-frequency aspects of the large-scale circulation and West Coast United States temperature/precipitation fluctuations in a simplified general circulation model. Journal of Climate, 7(11), 1668-1683. doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(1994)007<1668:lfaotl>2.0.co;2
Ely, L. L., Enzel, Y., & Cayan, D. R. (1994). Anomalous North Pacific atmospheric circulation and large winter floods in the Southwestern United States. Journal of Climate, 7(6), 977-987. doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(1994)007<0977:anpaca>2.0.co;2
Miller, A. J., Cayan, D. R., Barnett, T. P., Graham, N. E., & Oberhuber, J. M. (1994). Interdecadal variability of the Pacific Ocean: model response to observed heat flux and wind stress anomalies. Climate Dynamics, 9(6), 287-302. doi: 10.1007/bf00204744
Peterson, D. H., Cayan, D. R., DiLeo, J., Noble, M., & Dettinger, M. (1994). The role of climate in estuarine variability. American Scientist, 83, 58-67.
Reverdin, G., Cayan, D., Dooley, H. D., Ellett, D. J., Levitus, S., Dupenhoat, Y., & Dessier, A. (1994). Surface salinity of the North Atlantic: Can we reconstruct its fluctuations over the last one hundred years?. Progress in Oceanography, 33(4), 303-346. doi: 10.1016/0079-6611(94)90021-3

1993

Ely, L. L., Enzel, Y., Baker, V. R., & Cayan, D. R. (1993). A 5000-year record of extreme floods and climate change in the Southwestern United States. Science, 262(5132), 410-412. doi: 10.1126/science.262.5132.410
Giese, B. S., & Cayan, D. R. (1993). Surface heat flux parameterizations and tropical Pacific sea surface temperature simulations. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, 98(C4), 6979-6989. doi: 10.1029/93jc00323
Cayan, D. R., Riddle, L. G., & Aguado, E. (1993). The influence of precipitation and temperature on seasonal streamflow in California. Water Resources Research, 29(4), 1127-1140. doi: 10.1029/92wr02802
Cayan, D. R., & Peterson, D. H. (1993). Spring climate and salinity in the San Francisco Bay Estuary. Water Resources Research, 29(2), 293-303. doi: 10.1029/92wr02152

1992

Aguado, E., Cayan, D., Riddle, L., & Roos, M. (1992). Climatic fluctuations and the timing of West Coast streamflow. Journal of Climate, 5(12), 1468-1483. doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(1992)005<1468:cfatto>2.0.co;2
Cayan, D. R. (1992). Latent and sensible heat flux anomalies over the Northern Oceans: Driving the sea surface temperature. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 22(8), 859-881. doi: 10.1175/1520-0485(1992)022<0859:lashfa>2.0.co;2
Cayan, D. R. (1992). Latent and sensible heat flux anomalies over the Northern Oceans: the connection to monthly atmospheric circulation. Journal of Climate, 5(4), 354-369. doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(1992)005<0354:lashfa>2.0.co;2
Cayan, D. R. (1992). Variability of latent and sensible heat fluxes estimated using bulk formulas. Atmosphere-Ocean, 30(1), 1-42.
Cayan, D. R., & Webb, R. H. (1992). El Nino Southern Oscillation and streamflow in the Western United States. El Nino: historical and paleoclimatic aspects of the southern oscillation (pp. 29-68). Cambridge [England]; New York, NY, USA: Cambridge University Press.

1989

Enzel, Y., Cayan, D. R., Anderson, R. Y., & Wells, S. G. (1989). Atmospheric circulation during Holocene lake stands in the Mojave Desert: evidence of regional climate change. Nature, 341(6237), 44-47. doi: 10.1038/341044a0
Cayan, D. R., & Peterson, D. H. (1989). The influence of North Pacific atmospheric circulation on streamflow in the West. Aspects of climate variability in the Pacific and the western Americas (pp. 375-397). Washington, DC, U.S.A.: American Geophysical Union.
Peterson, D. H., Cayan, D. R., Festa, J. F., Nichols, F. H., Walters, R. A., Slack, J. V., ... Schemel, L. E. (1989). Climate variability in an estuary: effects of reverflow on San Francisco Bay. Aspects of climate variability in the Pacific and the western Americas (pp. 419-442). Washington, DC, U.S.A.: American Geophysical Union.
Strange, R. R., Graham, N. E., & Cayan, D. R. (1989). Meteorological developments of the unusually severe Southern California storm during January 16-18, 1988. Shore and Beach, 57, 3-9.

1988

Namias, J., Yuan, X. J., & Cayan, D. R. (1988). Persistence of North Pacific sea surface temperature and atmospheric flow patterns. Journal of Climate, 1(7), 682-703. doi: 10.1175/1520-0442(1988)001<0682:ponpss>2.0.co;2

1987

Venrick, E. L., McGowan, J. A., Cayan, D. R., & Hayward, T. L. (1987). Climate and chlorophyll-a: long-term trends in the central North Pacific Ocean. Science, 238(4823), 70-72. doi: 10.1126/science.238.4823.70

1986

Peterson, D. H., Cayan, D. R., & Festa, J. F. (1986). Interannual variability in biogeochemistry of partially-mixed estuaries: dissolved silicate cycles in northern San Francisco Bay. Estuarine variability : Proceedings of the Eighth biennial international estuarine research conference, University of New Hampshire, Durham, July 28-August 2, 1985, 123-128.

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