Publications


Corringham, T. W., McCarthy, J., Shulgina, T., Gershunov, A., Cayan, D. R., & Ralph, F. M. (2022). Climate change contributions to future atmospheric river flood damages in the western United States. Scientific Reports, 12(1), 13747. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-15474-2
Burney, J. A., Roberts, S. C., DeHaan, L. L., Shimizu, C., Bainto, E. V., Newburger, J. W., Dominguez, S., Jone, P.-N., Jaggi, P., Szmuszkovicz, J. R., Rowley, A. H., Samuy, N., Scalici, P., Tremoulet, A. H., Cayan, D. R., Burns, J. C., KIDCARE Study Investigators, Arditi, M., Szmuszkovicz, J., … Halasa, N. (2022). Epidemiological and Clinical Features of Kawasaki Disease During the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States. JAMA Network Open, 5(6), e2217436. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.17436
Burney, J. A., DeHaan, L. L., Shimizu, C., Bainto, E. V., Newburger, J. W., DeBiasi, R. L., Dominguez, S. R., Portman, M. A., Melish, M., Bratincsak, A., Fabi, M., Corinaldesi, E., Yu, J. J., Gee, P., Kitano, N., Tremoulet, A. H., Cayan, D. R., Burns, J. C., & Kawasaki Dis Climate Study, G. (2021). Temporal clustering of Kawasaki disease cases around the world. Scientific Reports, 11(1), 10. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-01961-5
Pierce, D. W., Cayan, D. R., Goodrich, J., Das, T., & Munevar, A. (2021). Evaluating global climate models for hydrological studies of the Upper Colorado River Basin. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 26. https://doi.org/10.1111/1752-1688.12974
Keeley, J. E., Guzman-Morales, J., Gershunov, A., Syphard, A. D., Cayan, D., Pierce, D. W., Flannigan, M., & Brown, T. J. (2021). Ignitions explain more than temperature or precipitation in driving Santa Ana wind fires. Science Advances, 7(30). https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abh2262
Barnard, P. L., Dugan, J. E., Page, H. M., Wood, N. J., Hart, J. A. F., Cayan, D. R., Erikson, L., Hubbard, D. M., Myers, M. R., Melack, J. M., & Iacobellis, S. F. (2021). Multiple climate change-driven tipping points for coastal systems. Scientific Reports, 11(1), 13. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-94942-7
Pierce, D. W., Su, L., Cayan, D. R., Risser, M. D., Livneh, B., & Lettenmaier, D. P. (2021). An extreme-preserving long-term gridded daily precipitation dataset for the conterminous United States. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 22(7), 1883–1895. https://doi.org/10.1175/jhm-d-20-0212.1
Gershunov, A., Morales, J. G., Hatchett, B., Guirguis, K., Aguilera, R., Shulgina, T., Abatzoglou, J. T., Cayan, D., Pierce, D., Williams, P., Small, I., Clemesha, R., Schwarz, L., Benmarhnia, T., & Tardy, A. (2021). Hot and cold flavors of southern California’s Santa Ana winds: their causes, trends, and links with wildfire. Climate Dynamics, 16. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05802-z
Burns, J. C., DeHaan, L. L., Shimizu, C., Bainto, E. V., Tremoulet, A. H., Cayan, D. R., & Burney, J. A. (2021). Temporal clusters of Kawasaki disease cases share distinct phenotypes that suggest response to diverse triggers. Journal of Pediatrics, 229, 48-+. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpeds.2020.09.043
Ban, Z. X., Das, T., Cayan, D., Xiao, M., & Lettenmaier, D. P. (2020). Understanding the asymmetry of annual streamflow responses to seasonal warming in the western United States. Water Resources Research, 56(12). https://doi.org/10.1029/2020wr027158
McEvoy, D. J., Pierce, D. W., Kalansky, J. F., Cayan, D. R., & Abatzoglou, J. T. (2020). Projected changes in reference evapotranspiration in California and Nevada: Implications for drought and wildland fire danger. Earths Future, 8(11). https://doi.org/10.1029/2020ef001736
Walton, D., Berg, N., Pierce, D., Maurer, E., Hall, A., Lin, Y. H., Rahimi, S., & Cayan, D. (2020). Understanding differences in California climate projections produced by dynamical and statistical downscaling. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 125(19). https://doi.org/10.1029/2020jd032812
Fogarty, F. A., Cayan, D. R., DeHaan, L. L., & Fleishman, E. (2020). Associations of breeding-bird abundance with climate vary among species and trait-based groups in southern California. PLOS ONE, 15(3). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0230614
Corringham, T. W., Ralph, F. M., Gershunov, A., Cayan, D. R., & Talbot, C. A. (2019). Atmospheric rivers drive flood damages in the western United States. Science Advances, 5(12). https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aax4631
Myers, M. R., Barnard, P. L., Beighley, E., Cayan, D. R., Dugan, J. E., Feng, D. M., Hubbard, D. M., Iacobellis, S. F., Melack, J. M., & Page, H. M. (2019). A multidisciplinary coastal vulnerability assessment for local government focused on ecosystems, Santa Barbara area, California. Ocean & Coastal Management, 182. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2019.104921
Zhang, Z. H., Pierce, D. W., & Cayan, D. R. (2019). A deficit of seasonal temperature forecast skill over west coast regions in NMME. Weather and Forecasting, 34(4), 833–848. https://doi.org/10.1175/waf-d-18-0172.1
Corringham, T. W., & Cayan, D. R. (2019). The effect of El Nino on flood damages in the western United States. Weather Climate and Society, 11(3), 489–504. https://doi.org/10.1175/wcas-d-18-0071.1
Gershunov, A., Shulgina, T., Clemesha, R. E. S., Guirguis, K., Pierce, D. W., Dettinger, M. D., Lavers, D. A., Cayan, D. R., Polade, S. D., Kalansky, J., & Ralph, F. M. (2019). Precipitation regime change in Western North America: The role of atmospheric rivers. Scientific Reports, 9. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-46169-w
Feng, D. M., Beighley, E., Raoufi, R., Melack, J., Zhao, Y. H., Iacobellis, S., & Cayan, D. (2019). Propagation of future climate conditions into hydrologic response from coastal southern California watersheds. Climatic Change, 153(1–2), 199–218. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02371-3
Roche, J. W., Rice, R., Meng, X. D., Cayan, D. R., Dettinger, M. D., Alden, D., Patel, S. C., Mason, M. A., Conklin, M. H., & Bales, R. C. (2019). Climate, snow, and soil moisture data set for the Tuolumne and Merced river watersheds, California, USA. Earth System Science Data, 11(1), 101–110. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-11-101-2019
Knowles, N., Cronkite-Ratcliff, C., Pierce, D. W., & Cayan, D. R. (2018). Responses of unimpaired flows, storage, and managed flows to scenarios of climate change in the San Francisco Bay-Delta Watershed. Water Resources Research, 54(10), 7631–7650. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018wr022852
Sumargo, E., & Cayan, D. R. (2018). The influence of cloudiness on hydrologic fluctuations in the mountains of the western United States. Water Resources Research, 54(10), 8478–8499. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018wr022687
Guirguis, K., Gershunov, A., Cayan, D. R., & Pierce, D. W. (2018). Heat wave probability in the changing climate of the Southwest US. Climate Dynamics, 50(9–10), 3853–3864. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3850-3
Polade, S. D., Gershunov, A., Cayan, D. R., Dettinger, M. D., & Pierce, D. W. (2017). Precipitation in a warming world: Assessing projected hydro-climate changes in California and other Mediterranean climate regions. Scientific Reports, 7. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-11285-y
Huss, M., Bookhagen, B., Huggel, C., Jacobsen, D., Bradley, R. S., Clague, J. J., Vuille, M., Buytaert, W., Cayan, D. R., Greenwood, G., Mark, B. G., Milner, A. M., Weingartner, R., & Winder, M. (2017). Toward mountains without permanent snow and ice. Earths Future, 5(5), 418–435. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016ef000514
Sumargo, E., & Cayan, D. R. (2017). Variability of Cloudiness over Mountain Terrain in the Western United States. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18(5), 1227–1245. https://doi.org/10.1175/jhm-d-16-0194.1
Clemesha, R. E. S., Gershunov, A., Iacobellis, S. F., & Cayan, D. R. (2017). Daily variability of California coastal low cloudiness: A balancing act between stability and subsidence. Geophysical Research Letters, 44(7), 3330–3338. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017gl073075
Lundquist, J. D., Roche, J. W., Forrester, H., Moore, C., Keenan, E., Perry, G., Cristea, N., Henn, B., Lapo, K., McGurk, B., Cayan, D. R., & Dettinger, M. D. (2016). Yosemite Hydroclimate Network: Distributed stream and atmospheric data for the Tuolumne River watershed and surroundings. Water Resources Research, 52(9), 7478–7489. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016wr019261
Pierce, D. W., & Cayan, D. R. (2016). Downscaling humidity with Localized Constructed Analogs (LOCA) over the conterminous United States. Climate Dynamics, 47(1–2), 411–431. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2845-1
Ralph, F. M., Prather, K. A., Cayan, D., Spackman, J. R., DeMott, P., Dettinger, M., Fairall, C., Leung, R., Rosenfeld, D., Rutledge, S., Waliser, D., White, A. B., Cordeira, J., Martin, A., Helly, J., & Intrieri, J. (2016). CalWater field studies designed to quantify the roles of atmospheric rivers and aerosols in modulating US West Coast precipitation in a changing climate. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97(7), 1209–1228. https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-14-00043.1
Melville, W. K., Lenain, L., Cayan, D. R., Kahru, M., Kleissl, J. P., Linden, P. F., & Statom, N. M. (2016). The Modular Aerial Sensing System. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 33(6), 1169–1184. https://doi.org/10.1175/jtech-d-15-0067.1
Yang, Y., Russell, L. M., Xu, L., Lou, S. J., Lamjiri, M. A., Somerville, R. C. J., Miller, A. J., Cayan, D. R., DeFlorio, M. J., Ghan, S. J., Liu, Y., Singh, B., Wang, H. L., Yoon, J. H., & Rasch, P. J. (2016). Impacts of ENSO events on cloud radiative effects in preindustrial conditions: Changes in cloud fraction and their dependence on interactive aerosol emissions and concentrations. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 121(11), 6321–6335. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015jd024503
Guzman-Morales, J., Gershunov, A., Theiss, J., Li, H. Q., & Cayan, D. (2016). Santa Ana Winds of Southern California: Their climatology, extremes, and behavior spanning six and a half decades. Geophysical Research Letters, 43(6), 2827–2834. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016gl067887
Clemesha, R. E. S., Gershunov, A., Iacobellis, S. F., Williams, A. P., & Cayan, D. R. (2016). The northward march of summer low cloudiness along the California coast. Geophysical Research Letters, 43(3), 1287–1295. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015gl067081
DeFlorio, M. J., Goodwin, I. D., Cayan, D. R., Miller, A. J., Ghan, S. J., Pierce, D. W., Russell, L. M., & Singh, B. (2016). Interannual modulation of subtropical Atlantic boreal summer dust variability by ENSO. Climate Dynamics, 46(1–2), 585–599. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2600-7
Pierce, D. W., Cayan, D. R., Maurer, E. P., Abatzoglou, J. T., & Hegewisch, K. C. (2015). Improved bias correction techniques for hydrological simulations of climate change. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 16(6), 2421–2442. https://doi.org/10.1175/jhm-d-14-0236.1
Guirguis, K., Gershunov, A., & Cayan, D. R. (2015). Interannual variability in associations between seasonal climate, weather, and extremes: wintertime temperature over the Southwestern United States. Environmental Research Letters, 10(12). https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/124023
Shukla, S., Steinemann, A., Iacobellis, S. F., & Cayan, D. R. (2015). Annual drought in California: Association with monthly precipitation and climate phases. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 54(11), 2273–2281. https://doi.org/10.1175/jamc-d-15-0167.1
Livneh, B., Bohn, T. J., Pierce, D. W., Munoz-Arriola, F., Nijssen, B., Vose, R., Cayan, D. R., & Brekke, L. (2015). A spatially comprehensive, hydrometeorological data set for Mexico, the U.S., and Southern Canada 1950–2013. Scientific Data, 2(1), 150042. https://doi.org/10.1038/sdata.2015.42
Steinemann, A., Iacobellis, S. F., & Cayan, D. R. (2015). Developing and evaluating drought indicators for decision-making. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 16(4), 1793–1803. https://doi.org/10.1175/jhm-d-14-0234.1
Bromirski, P. D., & Cayan, D. R. (2015). Wave power variability and trends across the North Atlantic influenced by decadal climate patterns. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, 120(5), 3419–3443. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014jc010440
Pierce, D. W., Cayan, D. R., & Thrasher, B. L. (2014). Statistical downscaling using Localized Constructed Analogs (LOCA). Journal of Hydrometeorology, 15(6), 2558–2585. https://doi.org/10.1175/jhm-d-14-0082.1
Borsa, A. A., Agnew, D. C., & Cayan, D. R. (2014). Ongoing drought-induced uplift in the western United States. Science. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1260279
Rick, T. C., Sillett, T. S., Ghalambor, C. K., Hofman, C. A., Ralls, K., Anderson, R. S., Boser, C. L., Braje, T. J., Cayan, D. R., Chesser, R. T., Collins, P. W., Erlandson, J. M., Faulkner, K. R., Fleischer, R., Funk, W. C., Galipeau, R., Huston, A., King, J., Laughrin, L., … Morrison, S. A. (2014). Ecological change on California’s Channel Islands from the Pleistocene to the Anthropocene. Bioscience, 64(8), 680–692. https://doi.org/10.1093/biosci/biu094
DeFlorio, M. J., Ghan, S. J., Singh, B., Miller, A. J., Cayan, D. R., Russell, L. M., & Somerville, R. C. J. (2014). Semidirect dynamical and radiative effect of North African dust transport on lower tropospheric clouds over the subtropical North Atlantic in CESM 1.0. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 119(13), 2013JD020997. https://doi.org/10.1002/2013JD020997
Maurer, E. P., Brekke, L., Pruitt, T., Thrasher, B., Long, J., Duffy, P., Dettinger, M., Cayan, D., & Arnold, J. (2014). An enhanced archive facilitating climate impacts and adaptation analysis. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 95(7), 1011-+. https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-13-00126.1
Rodo, X., Curcoll, R., Robinson, M., Ballester, J., Burns, J. C., Cayan, D. R., Lipkin, W. I., Williams, B. L., Couto-Rodriguez, M., Nakamura, Y., Uehara, R., Tanimoto, H., & Morgui, J. A. (2014). Tropospheric winds from northeastern China carry the etiologic agent of Kawasaki disease from its source to Japan. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 111(22), 7952–7957. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1400380111
Schwartz, R. E., Gershunov, A., Iacobellis, S. F., & Cayan, D. R. (2014). North American west coast summer low cloudiness: Broadscale variability associated with sea surface temperature. Geophysical Research Letters, 41(9), 3307–3314. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014gl059825
Polade, S. D., Pierce, D. W., Cayan, D. R., Gershunov, A., & Dettinger, M. D. (2014). The key role of dry days in changing regional climate and precipitation regimes. Scientific Reports, 4. https://doi.org/10.1038/srep04364
Li, H. Q., Kanamitsu, M., Hong, S. Y., Yoshimura, K., Cayan, D. R., & Misra, V. (2014). A high-resolution ocean-atmosphere coupled downscaling of the present climate over California. Climate Dynamics, 42(3–4), 701–714. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1670-7